Mr. Abdulgani Bozkurt discusses the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Israel’s regional role, and potential future scenarios. Israel’s government links its continuity to ongoing war due to pending international court decisions and is pushing for more conflict, involving Iran and Hezbollah. The conflict intensifies in Lebanon, with Israel aiming for strategic goals but facing challenges from Hezbollah. The conversation explores potential conflicts with Turkey, Jordan, and Egypt, highlighting the complexity of the situation. Israel may target Syria next and aims to consolidate the region, potentially weakening Turkey. Suggestions include declaring Israeli leaders as war criminals and forming a Jerusalem Pact to counter Israel’s influence collectively for peace and stability.
Today on Deep Look, we have Mr. Abdulgani Bozkurt to discuss the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and Israel’s regional role. Mr. Bozkurt emphasizes that Israel’s government ties its regime’s continuity to the ongoing war due to pending decisions from international courts that could have consequences. He mentions that Israel is pushing for more war, especially by involving Hezbollah, despite Hezbollah’s cautious approach. Iran and Hezbollah are motivated by their anti-Israel stance to participate actively. In the event of a ceasefire, Netanyahu’s government may face significant sanctions.
The conflict intensifies in Lebanon, where Hezbollah suffers significant losses, potentially leading to a war heading towards south of the Litani River. Israel seeks to achieve strategic goals in Lebanon but faces challenges due to the country’s terrain and Hezbollah’s strength compared to Hamas. The possibility of a full-blown war involving international actors, including a potential attack on Iran, is discussed.
Looking ahead, Mr. Bozkurt suggests that Israel’s next move after Lebanon may target Syria, as the country is part of the “axis of resistance” against Israel. The involvement of international actors in the conflict is examined, with concerns about the economic and geopolitical implications of a wider war. Mr. Bozkurt predicts a continued, controlled conflict with support from regional countries.
The conversation shifts to potential future scenarios involving Turkey, where Mr. Bozkurt speculates on the risks of a war reaching Turkish territory. He suggests that Turkey may not be an immediate target for Israel, but issues related to the PKK and YPG could impact the region’s stability. He also raises concerns about potential conflicts involving Jordan and Egypt in the future due to Israeli actions.
Overall, Mr. Bozkurt’s analysis highlights the complexities of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the role of regional and international actors, and the potential risks of further escalation in the Middle East.
Israel’s next target after Syria may be to consolidate the region thoroughly, focusing on territories such as Turkey’s 22 provinces. The US and the West may not intervene in a potential conflict near Turkey’s border due to Israel’s nuclear weapons and limited power. Israel could aim to weaken Turkey by supporting terrorist organizations to wear down the country.
Turkey’s operation against PYD fighters in the south could keep the country occupied, although necessary for security. International organizations and courts have not taken significant action to end the conflict or punish Israel, leading to a lack of progress. The idea of declaring Israeli leaders as war criminals and imposing penalties is suggested as a potential resolution. The Al-Aqsa Flood crisis is cited as a systemic breakdown, eroding values that gave the West superiority for centuries.
The shift in global power from the West to the East is highlighted, with India and China potentially becoming key players in the new world order. The collapse of the current system and the establishment of a new one may take 15-20 years, with significant ramifications. International actors and legal mechanisms are seen as ineffective in addressing the conflict, as they are part of a larger systemic fight. Ending the war through a larger conflict is proposed as a potential path to permanent peace, as patching up issues may lead to more significant problems in the future.
Turkey is encouraged to take a more active role in weakening Israel’s position, including cutting diplomatic ties and imposing visa restrictions in response to Israel’s treatment of Turkish citizens.
The formation of a Jerusalem Pact involving regional countries is suggested as a way to counter Israel’s influence collectively. The importance of addressing Israel as an ontological enemy and regional rivals putting aside their differences to confront this common threat is emphasized.
The discussion points out the broader implications of Israel’s military operations in the Middle East and the need for regional cooperation to maintain peace and stability.
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